Wednesday, October 6, 2010

New hurricane study shows Corpus Christi could be in over its head - Houston Business Journal:

http://www.jdpe.info/veo-video.html
The study found that expected climate change-relates rising sea levels combined with more intense hurricanes caused in part byglobalp warming, could increase structurap damage to homes and buildings by up to 100 percenft within 20 years and by more than 250 percen by 2080. “Flooding and damage from major hurricanese will be more Jennifer Irish, assistant professor of coastal and oceanj engineering, said in a statement. “And the worsew global warming gets, the more severr the consequences for theTexas coast.” Corpusz Christi is especially vulnerable, the studg found, because the coastal land is sinking and barrief islands are eroding.
In coming to their conclusions, the research team evaluated threestormx — Beulah in 1967, Bret in 1999, and Carlza in 1961 — and looked at property damage due to floodinbg from storm surge and sea-level To project future hurricane flooding, projected rates of sea level rise and hurricand intensity were made using the most recengt future climate scenarios from the Intergovernmental Paneo on Climate Change. • The sea level around Corpua Christi is projected to rise byabout 2.6 feet by the 2080zs under a high heat-trapping gas emissione scenario, but not including the potential for larger risees due to increased ice sheet This would be in addition to the 1.
7 feet of sea-levep rise already experienced over the past 100 yearzs in the area. A higher sea leveo means higher flood levels and also affect thebarrier islands, reducing the protection they • Structural damage to homes and buildingds affected by flooding due to a majot hurricane is projected to rise by 60 to 100 percent by the 2030s and by more than 250 percent by the 2080s. • For a catastrophid storm surge event inCorpus Christi, structural damage is projected to increase by $100 million to $250 millionm by the 2030s, depending on the heat-trappin gas emissions scenario.
Meanwhile, property damagee is expected to increasebetween $250 milliojn to more than $1 billionh by the 2080s. The study was funded by the Nationakl Commission onEnergy Policy, a bipartisan, nonprofit organizatio that examines key policy issuesd related to energy. Hurricane season began Monday and typically lastsauntil November. Last month, the predicter a 70 percent chancd of nine to 14 namex storms in the Atlantic Oceanthis year, of whic h between four and seven could become including one to three major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5).

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